TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 6:22 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Emily Appleton and Megan Heuser in the W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Emily Appleton' if Emily Appleton advances against Megan Heuser. This market will resolve to 'Megan Heuser' if Megan Heuser advances against Emily Appleton. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Emily Appleton and Megan Heuser in the W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Emily Appleton' if Emily Appleton advances against Megan Heuser. This market will resolve to 'Megan Heuser' if Megan Heuser advances against Emily Appleton. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, while this market’s odds are driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Examining these differences can be insightful, though it's important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different methodologies and information sources.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants trading on the platform.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Appleton vs Heuser match, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is declared the winner. Traders who held shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 10, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also have an impact. Furthermore, major upsets in other related tennis tournaments might lead traders to reassess their probabilities. Monitoring these signals and analyzing their potential effect on the match outcome is crucial for informed trading in this market.