TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 4, 8:43 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sofia Shapatava and Francesca Gandolfi in the W15 Fiano Romano, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sofia Shapatava' if Sofia Shapatava advances against Francesca Gandolfi. This market will resolve to 'Francesca Gandolfi' if Francesca Gandolfi advances against Sofia Shapatava. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sofia Shapatava and Francesca Gandolfi in the W15 Fiano Romano, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sofia Shapatava' if Sofia Shapatava advances against Francesca Gandolfi. This market will resolve to 'Francesca Gandolfi' if Francesca Gandolfi advances against Sofia Shapatava. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived chance of success. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined entirely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Fiano Romano match between Sofia Shapatava and Francesca Gandolfi. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding the players’ form, injuries, or recent performance could significantly shift probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions at the tournament location could also play a role, potentially favoring one player over the other. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could create momentum and drive price changes, reflecting shifts in trader sentiment. Publicly released analysis or expert opinions could also impact the market.