TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 4, 10:46 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Paula Ormaechea and Federica Trevisan in the W15 Fiano Romano, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Paula Ormaechea' if Paula Ormaechea advances against Federica Trevisan. This market will resolve to 'Federica Trevisan' if Federica Trevisan advances against Paula Ormaechea. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Paula Ormaechea and Federica Trevisan in the W15 Fiano Romano, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Paula Ormaechea' if Paula Ormaechea advances against Federica Trevisan. This market will resolve to 'Federica Trevisan' if Federica Trevisan advances against Paula Ormaechea. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their beliefs about the outcome of the Ormaechea vs Trevisan match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will climb, and vice versa. This creates a dynamic pricing system driven entirely by supply and demand within the market.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ormaechea vs Trevisan match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome. The volume of $575 suggests significant interest in this event, and the 24-hour volume of $575 indicates ongoing trading activity as the match approaches.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the players' form, potential injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about their physical condition or strategic changes could also impact the odds. Furthermore, general tennis news and analysis, as well as public opinion, can all contribute to fluctuations in the market price. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to the Sep 11, 2026 resolution.