TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 12:13 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Francesca Gandolfi and Federica Trevisan in the W15 Fiano Romano, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francesca Gandolfi' if Francesca Gandolfi advances against Federica Trevisan. This market will resolve to 'Federica Trevisan' if Federica Trevisan advances against Francesca Gandolfi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Francesca Gandolfi and Federica Trevisan in the W15 Fiano Romano, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francesca Gandolfi' if Francesca Gandolfi advances against Federica Trevisan. This market will resolve to 'Federica Trevisan' if Federica Trevisan advances against Francesca Gandolfi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and opinions. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when there’s considerable uncertainty surrounding the outcome. Analyzing these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making, though it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts to reflect the collective sentiment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. For example, a share trading at 60 means there’s a 60% implied probability of that outcome being correct. The market’s depth and volume also influence price discovery, ensuring a relatively efficient reflection of available information.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Fiano Romano match between Francesca Gandolfi and Federica Trevisan. This means that the market will settle based on the winner as determined by the official tournament organizers and reported by recognized sports news sources. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 12, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in preceding matches for either Gandolfi or Trevisan could also impact the odds. Publicly available analysis from tennis experts and commentators, as well as any significant betting activity reported by sports news outlets, could also contribute to price movements. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the players’ chances of winning has the potential to move this market.