TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 7:10 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniela Vismane and Carlotta Moccia in the W15 Fiano Romano, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniela Vismane' if Daniela Vismane advances against Carlotta Moccia. This market will resolve to 'Carlotta Moccia' if Carlotta Moccia advances against Daniela Vismane. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniela Vismane and Carlotta Moccia in the W15 Fiano Romano, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniela Vismane' if Daniela Vismane advances against Carlotta Moccia. This market will resolve to 'Carlotta Moccia' if Carlotta Moccia advances against Daniela Vismane. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when there's significant public interest or uncertainty surrounding an event. These differences can arise from varying information access, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the same data. Examining these differences can be informative for both types of bettors.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined entirely by supply and demand, with traders adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis of the Vismane-Moccia match.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Fiano Romano tennis match between Daniela Vismane and Carlotta Moccia. The official tournament results will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome in this market. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the event progresses and for the final confirmation of the result, which will trigger settlement of the market on Polymarket.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the tournament might also affect perceptions of player momentum. Publicly available analysis from tennis experts or shifts in betting odds from sportsbooks could also drive trading volume and price adjustments. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning the Vismane-Moccia match has the potential to move this market.