TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 6:03 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Caterina Odorizzi and Francesca Gandolfi in the W15 Fiano Romano, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Caterina Odorizzi' if Caterina Odorizzi advances against Francesca Gandolfi. This market will resolve to 'Francesca Gandolfi' if Francesca Gandolfi advances against Caterina Odorizzi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Caterina Odorizzi and Francesca Gandolfi in the W15 Fiano Romano, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Caterina Odorizzi' if Caterina Odorizzi advances against Francesca Gandolfi. This market will resolve to 'Francesca Gandolfi' if Francesca Gandolfi advances against Caterina Odorizzi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own research and information. If there's a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the event or that new information hasn't been fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. The price of each share reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a share representing a win for either Odorizzi or Gandolfi.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Odorizzi vs Gandolfi match, as determined by the governing tennis authorities. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to this one, or even weather forecasts impacting the playing surface, could also cause movement. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by informed traders could create short-term price fluctuations, reflecting new information or strategic positioning. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves.