TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 10:05 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Carolina Gasparini and Carla Giambelli in the W15 Fiano Romano, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carolina Gasparini' if Carolina Gasparini advances against Carla Giambelli. This market will resolve to 'Carla Giambelli' if Carla Giambelli advances against Carolina Gasparini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Carolina Gasparini and Carla Giambelli in the W15 Fiano Romano, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carolina Gasparini' if Carolina Gasparini advances against Carla Giambelli. This market will resolve to 'Carla Giambelli' if Carla Giambelli advances against Carolina Gasparini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of either Carolina Gasparini or Carla Giambelli winning, the prediction market odds will adjust accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the players' form and potential.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each player winning. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, providing a dynamic assessment of the match’s potential result. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Fiano Romano match between Carolina Gasparini and Carla Giambelli, as determined by the tournament organizers. The winning player, as officially declared, will determine the settlement of this market. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how their shares will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 10, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like court surface or weather), or updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving either player, or even broader trends in women’s tennis, might also play a role. Furthermore, significant trading activity—a large purchase or sale of shares—could trigger price movements, reflecting a change in overall market confidence.