TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 7, 5:48 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sophie Luescher and Aurora Zurmuehle in the W15 Dijon, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sophie Luescher' if Sophie Luescher advances against Aurora Zurmuehle. This market will resolve to 'Aurora Zurmuehle' if Aurora Zurmuehle advances against Sophie Luescher. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sophie Luescher and Aurora Zurmuehle in the W15 Dijon, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sophie Luescher' if Sophie Luescher advances against Aurora Zurmuehle. This market will resolve to 'Aurora Zurmuehle' if Aurora Zurmuehle advances against Sophie Luescher. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a player, the odds on Polymarket may shift to reflect that collective insight. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of both markets.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Dijon tennis match between Sophie Luescher and Aurora Zurmuehle. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available match results, ensuring a transparent and accurate determination of the outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the verified result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, such as injury updates or recent match performances, could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions at the tournament location might also play a role, potentially favoring one player's style of play over another. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could create momentum and drive price movements. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning has the potential to move this market.