TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 11, 9:32 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sarah Iliev and Marta Soriano Santiago in the W15 Dijon, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sarah Iliev' if Sarah Iliev advances against Marta Soriano Santiago. This market will resolve to 'Marta Soriano Santiago' if Marta Soriano Santiago advances against Sarah Iliev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sarah Iliev and Marta Soriano Santiago in the W15 Dijon, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sarah Iliev' if Sarah Iliev advances against Marta Soriano Santiago. This market will resolve to 'Marta Soriano Santiago' if Marta Soriano Santiago advances against Sarah Iliev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or public perception. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance betting action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or when a significant portion of the public favors a particular outcome. Examining these differences can highlight areas where the market believes sportsbooks may be mispricing the event.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Dijon match between Sarah Iliev and Marta Soriano Santiago. Any disputes or ambiguities will be resolved by referencing authoritative sources for tennis match results. The platform will then determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected results in preceding matches for either player, or even broader trends in women’s tennis, could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants on Polymarket could create short-term price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how the market evolves leading up to the match's resolution.