TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 10:34 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lian Tran and Fabienne Gettwart in the W15 Dijon, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lian Tran' if Lian Tran advances against Fabienne Gettwart. This market will resolve to 'Fabienne Gettwart' if Fabienne Gettwart advances against Lian Tran. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lian Tran and Fabienne Gettwart in the W15 Dijon, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lian Tran' if Lian Tran advances against Fabienne Gettwart. This market will resolve to 'Fabienne Gettwart' if Fabienne Gettwart advances against Lian Tran. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but can be influenced by factors like public betting patterns and risk management. This market, like others on Polymarket, allows individuals to express their own predictions, which can lead to odds that diverge from those found at sportsbooks. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when there’s strong public sentiment or specialized knowledge influencing the prediction market.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its shares will rise, and vice-versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and collective intelligence of the participants trading in the Lian Tran vs Fabienne Gettwart match.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on the official result of the W15 Dijon match between Lian Tran and Fabienne Gettwart. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to determine the winner, or if the match ends in a draw. The final result will be used to determine which shares payout and at what rate, based on the probabilities established by trading activity leading up to the resolution date.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated rankings for Lian Tran or Fabienne Gettwart could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching decisions could also impact the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media discussion, can lead to changes in trading volume and price movements in this market. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding potential shifts in the odds.