TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 6:19 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kamila Kashaeva and Fanny Pire in the W15 Dijon, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kamila Kashaeva' if Kamila Kashaeva advances against Fanny Pire. This market will resolve to 'Fanny Pire' if Fanny Pire advances against Kamila Kashaeva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kamila Kashaeva and Fanny Pire in the W15 Dijon, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kamila Kashaeva' if Kamila Kashaeva advances against Fanny Pire. This market will resolve to 'Fanny Pire' if Fanny Pire advances against Kamila Kashaeva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Comparing prediction market odds to sportsbook odds reveals how public sentiment differs from professional analysis. Sportsbooks typically set lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, aiming to balance risk and attract bets. This market, however, reflects the collective wisdom of traders who may incorporate unique information or have different risk tolerances. If prediction market odds significantly diverge from sportsbook lines, it could signal that traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the event or that new information hasn't yet been fully incorporated into the sportsbook’s calculations.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes of the Kashaeva vs Pire match, and the price of each share reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts to reflect the changing beliefs of the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, with higher demand pushing prices up and increased supply driving them down. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are always up-to-date and reflect the latest information.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Dijon match between Kamila Kashaeva and Fanny Pire. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trustworthy sources to determine the winning outcome. The final price of the shares will reflect the actual result of the match, and traders will be paid out accordingly based on their holdings.
Several signals or events could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on team strategies could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player form or tactical adjustments could also lead to significant price movements. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could temporarily impact the odds, as could any major shifts in public perception of the players' chances. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Sep 13, 2026.