TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
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2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 10, 6:32 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Gina Marie Dittmann and Sarah Iliev in the W15 Dijon, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gina Marie Dittmann' if Gina Marie Dittmann advances against Sarah Iliev. This market will resolve to 'Sarah Iliev' if Sarah Iliev advances against Gina Marie Dittmann. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Gina Marie Dittmann and Sarah Iliev in the W15 Dijon, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gina Marie Dittmann' if Gina Marie Dittmann advances against Sarah Iliev. This market will resolve to 'Sarah Iliev' if Sarah Iliev advances against Gina Marie Dittmann. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like marketing or house bias into their odds, while this market relies on individuals directly betting on the outcome. Historically, prediction markets have demonstrated accuracy in forecasting event outcomes, sometimes surpassing traditional polling data or expert analysis. Comparing the implied probabilities from this market with those offered by sportsbooks can reveal interesting discrepancies in how different entities assess the likelihood of either player winning the match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Dittmann vs Iliev match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, directly reflecting the collective probability assigned to each possible result. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the market's assessment of the likelihood of a particular outcome, and traders can adjust their positions as new information becomes available or their own analysis evolves. The more traders believe an outcome will occur, the higher the share price will climb.
This market resolves around Sep 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Dijon tennis match between Gina Marie Dittmann and Sarah Iliev. The platform will identify the winner according to official tournament records. The outcome will be determined by which player is declared the victor by the tournament organizers, and this information will be used to settle the market and distribute payouts to winning share holders.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts impacting the match schedule, might also cause price fluctuations. Significant betting activity, particularly large trades in one direction, could also move the market. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning the match has the potential to impact the price of shares in this market.