TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 9:51 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Francesca Parcelli and Marie Mattel in the W15 Dijon, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francesca Parcelli' if Francesca Parcelli advances against Marie Mattel. This market will resolve to 'Marie Mattel' if Marie Mattel advances against Francesca Parcelli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Francesca Parcelli and Marie Mattel in the W15 Dijon, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francesca Parcelli' if Francesca Parcelli advances against Marie Mattel. This market will resolve to 'Marie Mattel' if Marie Mattel advances against Francesca Parcelli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on internal models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, particularly when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders who can identify mispricings between the two. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Dijon tennis match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each player winning. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to find an equilibrium. The market’s depth and volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among participants. This dynamic pricing allows the market to aggregate information and potentially forecast the event's outcome more accurately than any single individual.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Dijon tennis match between Francesca Parcelli and Marie Mattel. The platform will verify the winner through established sports data sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the winning shares. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The final result will be publicly available on Polymarket.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated rankings could shift expectations. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players could also impact confidence levels. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in sentiment. Publicly available analysis from tennis experts and commentators could also sway opinions and drive trading activity. Monitoring these signals can help you understand the evolving dynamics of this market.