TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
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2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 7:22 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Milana Konovalova and Ema Harajda in the W15 Constanta, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Milana Konovalova' if Milana Konovalova advances against Ema Harajda. This market will resolve to 'Ema Harajda' if Ema Harajda advances against Milana Konovalova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Milana Konovalova and Ema Harajda in the W15 Constanta, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Milana Konovalova' if Milana Konovalova advances against Ema Harajda. This market will resolve to 'Ema Harajda' if Ema Harajda advances against Milana Konovalova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the match’s potential result. The current top outcome, as indicated by the highest share price, is the predicted winner.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Constanta tennis match between Milana Konovalova and Ema Harajda. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available tennis results, ensuring an accurate and transparent resolution process. The outcome will be determined by which player is officially declared the victor of the match.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could shift trader sentiment. Updates on the players’ current form, head-to-head records, or even weather forecasts for Constanta could also play a role. Significant shifts in public opinion, reflected in betting activity on Polymarket, will directly impact the market price. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning has the potential to move this market.