TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 6:53 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Melinda Biro and Karina Maria Capuzu in the W15 Constanta, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Melinda Biro' if Melinda Biro advances against Karina Maria Capuzu. This market will resolve to 'Karina Maria Capuzu' if Karina Maria Capuzu advances against Melinda Biro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Melinda Biro and Karina Maria Capuzu in the W15 Constanta, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Melinda Biro' if Melinda Biro advances against Karina Maria Capuzu. This market will resolve to 'Karina Maria Capuzu' if Karina Maria Capuzu advances against Melinda Biro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more shares are bought for a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket, and reflects their collective belief about the likelihood of Melinda Biro or Karina Maria Capuzu winning the match.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Constanta match between Melinda Biro and Karina Maria Capuzu, as determined by the tournament organizers and published on official tennis results websites. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when resolution is complete.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or changes in their ranking, could also impact the odds. Furthermore, broader tennis news, such as weather forecasts for the tournament location, or analysis from tennis experts, could all contribute to price movement. Increased trading volume closer to the match date is also likely to cause more volatility in this market.