TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 1:40 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Joulia Cristiana Cirstea and Serena Paris in the W15 Constanta, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joulia Cristiana Cirstea' if Joulia Cristiana Cirstea advances against Serena Paris. This market will resolve to 'Serena Paris' if Serena Paris advances against Joulia Cristiana Cirstea. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Joulia Cristiana Cirstea and Serena Paris in the W15 Constanta, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joulia Cristiana Cirstea' if Joulia Cristiana Cirstea advances against Serena Paris. This market will resolve to 'Serena Paris' if Serena Paris advances against Joulia Cristiana Cirstea. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Cirstea vs Paris match. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and place bets, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. This creates a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood, driven entirely by supply and demand for shares in this market.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Cirstea vs Paris match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 29, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public opinion could cause traders to reassess their predictions. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or player form could also lead to price movements. High-profile endorsements or commentary from tennis analysts might also sway sentiment. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning the Cirstea vs Paris match has the potential to move this market.