TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 7:24 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Helena Muzinic and Estella Jaeger in the W15 Constanta, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Helena Muzinic' if Helena Muzinic advances against Estella Jaeger. This market will resolve to 'Estella Jaeger' if Estella Jaeger advances against Helena Muzinic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Helena Muzinic and Estella Jaeger in the W15 Constanta, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Helena Muzinic' if Helena Muzinic advances against Estella Jaeger. This market will resolve to 'Estella Jaeger' if Estella Jaeger advances against Helena Muzinic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Constanta tennis match. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will fluctuate, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's potential results. The current implied probability of a specific outcome is determined by the share price relative to 1.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Constanta tennis match between Helena Muzinic and Estella Jaeger. The platform will identify the winner of the match based on publicly available sources, and the shares will be settled accordingly. Traders will receive a payout based on whether their chosen outcome aligns with the officially reported result of the match.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even shifts in public sentiment could lead to price movements. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or broader trends in tennis performance, might also affect trader behavior. Furthermore, significant trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in outlook, potentially causing the market to react quickly to these developments.