TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 9:39 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexia-Shara Iancu and Aleksandra Djokic in the W15 Constanta, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexia-Shara Iancu' if Alexia-Shara Iancu advances against Aleksandra Djokic. This market will resolve to 'Aleksandra Djokic' if Aleksandra Djokic advances against Alexia-Shara Iancu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexia-Shara Iancu and Aleksandra Djokic in the W15 Constanta, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexia-Shara Iancu' if Alexia-Shara Iancu advances against Aleksandra Djokic. This market will resolve to 'Aleksandra Djokic' if Aleksandra Djokic advances against Alexia-Shara Iancu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. This is because prediction markets allow anyone to participate and express their beliefs, potentially incorporating a wider range of information and analysis than a sportsbook's modeling. While sportsbooks set odds based on their own algorithms and risk assessment, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on player form, potential upsets, or even external factors influencing the match. It's common to see prediction markets offer more nuanced probabilities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Iancu-Djokic match. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, indicating a growing belief in its likelihood. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Constanta match between Alexia-Shara Iancu and Aleksandra Djokic. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available match results from recognized tennis authorities. The outcome will be determined by the official scoreline, and any disputes will be resolved using established tennis regulations. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to Sep 29, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament could all shift trader sentiment. Significant media coverage focusing on either player's form or strategy could also impact the odds. Any updates on the players' physical condition or tactical approach, released through official channels or reputable sports news sources, are likely to be closely watched by market participants and could lead to price fluctuations.