TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 4, 6:59 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tatsiana Sasnouskaya and Michaela Bayerlova in the W15 Cap d'Agde, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tatsiana Sasnouskaya' if Tatsiana Sasnouskaya advances against Michaela Bayerlova. This market will resolve to 'Michaela Bayerlova' if Michaela Bayerlova advances against Tatsiana Sasnouskaya. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tatsiana Sasnouskaya and Michaela Bayerlova in the W15 Cap d'Agde, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tatsiana Sasnouskaya' if Tatsiana Sasnouskaya advances against Michaela Bayerlova. This market will resolve to 'Michaela Bayerlova' if Michaela Bayerlova advances against Tatsiana Sasnouskaya. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, and can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in risk assessment. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, particularly in response to breaking news or late-developing insights about the players involved.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence the price discovery process, allowing for a dynamic and responsive assessment of the potential results of the Sasnouskaya vs Bayerlova match.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Cap d'Agde match between Tatsiana Sasnouskaya and Michaela Bayerlova. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available tennis scores and tournament results. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome of this market, as determined by the official match results.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to Sep 11, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the tournament might also impact the confidence in either player. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could create momentum and drive price movements, reflecting shifts in market sentiment regarding the Sasnouskaya vs Bayerlova match.