TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 9:17 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Michaela Bayerlova and Anais Gabriel in the W15 Cap d'Agde, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michaela Bayerlova' if Michaela Bayerlova advances against Anais Gabriel. This market will resolve to 'Anais Gabriel' if Anais Gabriel advances against Michaela Bayerlova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Michaela Bayerlova and Anais Gabriel in the W15 Cap d'Agde, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michaela Bayerlova' if Michaela Bayerlova advances against Anais Gabriel. This market will resolve to 'Anais Gabriel' if Anais Gabriel advances against Michaela Bayerlova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market is driven by the collective opinions of individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Analyzing these differences can be insightful, as prediction markets sometimes prove more accurate than traditional methods in forecasting event outcomes. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities and are subject to uncertainty.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Bayerlova vs Gabriel match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market adjusts dynamically to new information and changing opinions, providing a real-time assessment of the predicted probability. The current volume traded in this market is $320.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Cap d'Agde match between Michaela Bayerlova and Anais Gabriel. Any official announcements or results from governing tennis bodies will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the result is verified and the market is settled. It’s important to monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to the event could also shift expectations. Furthermore, public endorsements or analysis from tennis experts might sway opinions. Shifts in overall betting trends or even social media discussions surrounding the players could contribute to price movements. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in this market’s probabilities.