TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 10:35 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Simona Cucu and Alesia Breaz in the W15 Campulung, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Simona Cucu' if Simona Cucu advances against Alesia Breaz. This market will resolve to 'Alesia Breaz' if Alesia Breaz advances against Simona Cucu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Simona Cucu and Alesia Breaz in the W15 Campulung, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Simona Cucu' if Simona Cucu advances against Alesia Breaz. This market will resolve to 'Alesia Breaz' if Alesia Breaz advances against Simona Cucu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by the beliefs of traders. If a significant number of people believe an outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price in this market will move accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the collective intelligence of the crowd. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform sportsbooks, especially when insider information or nuanced analysis is present.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently aggregates information and adjusts probabilities based on the collective actions of participants. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds reflect the most up-to-date assessment of the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the W15 Campulung tennis match between Simona Cucu and Alesia Breaz. The platform will rely on publicly available and widely accepted sources to verify the winner of the match. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome, as determined by the official results. It is important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or broader tournament results, might also impact the perceived probabilities. Publicly released analysis from tennis experts or changes in betting odds at sportsbooks could also serve as catalysts. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived likelihood of either player winning is likely to move this market.