TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 7, 4:47 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Carina Maria Nicolae and Ana Maria Capeti in the W15 Campulung, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carina Maria Nicolae' if Carina Maria Nicolae advances against Ana Maria Capeti. This market will resolve to 'Ana Maria Capeti' if Ana Maria Capeti advances against Carina Maria Nicolae. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Carina Maria Nicolae and Ana Maria Capeti in the W15 Campulung, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carina Maria Nicolae' if Carina Maria Nicolae advances against Ana Maria Capeti. This market will resolve to 'Ana Maria Capeti' if Ana Maria Capeti advances against Carina Maria Nicolae. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and insights. If there's a significant discrepancy between the two, it may indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event, or that new information hasn't yet been fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. It's a useful comparison for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability of a particular player winning is reflected in the share price, and the market dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available and traders update their assessments. This creates a constantly evolving price discovery process.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the W15 Campulung tennis match between Carina Maria Nicolae and Ana Maria Capeti. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will receive a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader tournament upsets, could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring tennis news sources and observing trading patterns on Polymarket will be key to understanding potential catalysts that could move this market before it resolves.