TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 7:47 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Simona Ogescu and Joulia Cristiana Cirstea in the W15 Brasov, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Simona Ogescu' if Simona Ogescu advances against Joulia Cristiana Cirstea. This market will resolve to 'Joulia Cristiana Cirstea' if Joulia Cristiana Cirstea advances against Simona Ogescu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Simona Ogescu and Joulia Cristiana Cirstea in the W15 Brasov, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Simona Ogescu' if Simona Ogescu advances against Joulia Cristiana Cirstea. This market will resolve to 'Joulia Cristiana Cirstea' if Joulia Cristiana Cirstea advances against Simona Ogescu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the likely outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by betting on both platforms. However, it’s important to remember that prediction market odds are dynamic and change based on trading activity, potentially converging with sportsbook odds as the event draws nearer.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived chance of occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome, allowing traders to express their views and profit if their predictions prove accurate. The current volume indicates the level of interest in this match.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Brasov tennis match between Simona Ogescu and Joulia Cristiana Cirstea. The platform will verify the result against widely available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. News regarding player form, such as injury updates or recent match results for either Ogescu or Cirstea, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions at the tournament location could also play a role, as could any pre-match analysis from tennis experts. Unexpected announcements or developments related to the players or the tournament itself could all contribute to movement in this market before Sep 10, 2026.