TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 4:36 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alessia Popescu and Alesia Breaz in the W15 Brasov, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alessia Popescu' if Alessia Popescu advances against Alesia Breaz. This market will resolve to 'Alesia Breaz' if Alesia Breaz advances against Alessia Popescu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alessia Popescu and Alesia Breaz in the W15 Brasov, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alessia Popescu' if Alessia Popescu advances against Alesia Breaz. This market will resolve to 'Alesia Breaz' if Alesia Breaz advances against Alessia Popescu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the predictions of many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can be insightful, as prediction markets sometimes identify information not fully priced into sportsbook lines, though this is not always the case.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular player, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the match's likely result, driven by the actions of traders on the platform.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Brasov tennis match between Alessia Popescu and Alesia Breaz. Any official result published by the tournament organizers will be considered definitive. The platform will then determine the winning share(s) and distribute payouts accordingly to those who correctly predicted the outcome of the Brasov tennis match.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. For example, reports of a minor injury to one of the players, or a change in the court surface, could lead to increased trading activity and a change in the implied probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions during the match itself could also impact the outcome and move the market, as could any significant shifts in public sentiment or expert analysis.