TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Completed Match
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Completed Match - Polymarket
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 24, 2026
Closed: Sep 24, 5:08 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sabrina Dias and Paola Lopez in the W15 Belem, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sabrina Dias' if Sabrina Dias advances against Paola Lopez. This market will resolve to 'Paola Lopez' if Paola Lopez advances against Sabrina Dias. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sabrina Dias and Paola Lopez in the W15 Belem, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sabrina Dias' if Sabrina Dias advances against Paola Lopez. This market will resolve to 'Paola Lopez' if Paola Lopez advances against Sabrina Dias. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each player winning. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. The current price indicates the market’s assessment of each player’s chances, and traders can capitalize on perceived mispricings by buying or selling shares accordingly.
This market resolves around Oct 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Belem tennis match between Sabrina Dias and Paola Lopez, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the winner of this market.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated rankings could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, could also cause movement. Furthermore, significant trading volume driven by informed participants can quickly alter the price, especially closer to the Oct 1, 2026. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves.