TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 2:42 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Astra Sharma and Paola Lopez in the W15 Belem, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Astra Sharma' if Astra Sharma advances against Paola Lopez. This market will resolve to 'Paola Lopez' if Paola Lopez advances against Astra Sharma. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Astra Sharma and Paola Lopez in the W15 Belem, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Astra Sharma' if Astra Sharma advances against Paola Lopez. This market will resolve to 'Paola Lopez' if Paola Lopez advances against Astra Sharma. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Astra Sharma vs Paola Lopez match. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Astra Sharma vs Paola Lopez match, as declared by the official tournament organizers. The market will determine which player won the match, and shares will pay out accordingly based on the final result. It is important to note that the outcome will be determined by objective results and not subjective interpretations.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about the players’ strategies or coaching changes might also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, broader tennis news, such as upsets in other matches within the tournament, could indirectly affect this market. Public opinion and analysis from sports commentators could also play a role, influencing traders' perceptions of each player’s chances of winning the Astra Sharma vs Paola Lopez match.