TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 9:48 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Valentina Abril Bruno and Ruth Roura Llaverias in the W15 Badalona, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valentina Abril Bruno' if Valentina Abril Bruno advances against Ruth Roura Llaverias. This market will resolve to 'Ruth Roura Llaverias' if Ruth Roura Llaverias advances against Valentina Abril Bruno. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Valentina Abril Bruno and Ruth Roura Llaverias in the W15 Badalona, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valentina Abril Bruno' if Valentina Abril Bruno advances against Ruth Roura Llaverias. This market will resolve to 'Ruth Roura Llaverias' if Ruth Roura Llaverias advances against Valentina Abril Bruno. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance betting action, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees the actual result.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price will fluctuate, providing a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each player winning the match. The current volume suggests a moderate level of interest in this particular contest.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Badalona match between Valentina Abril Bruno and Ruth Roura Llaverias. The platform will rely on established tennis results databases and official tournament websites to verify the winner. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift probabilities. Unexpected results in preceding matches for either Valentina Abril Bruno or Ruth Roura Llaverias could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, analysis from tennis experts or changes in public perception of each player's chances could lead to increased trading volume and price adjustments. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential market movements.