TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 11:29 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sofia Montesinos Vilanova and Aliesia Reva in the W15 Badalona, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sofia Montesinos Vilanova' if Sofia Montesinos Vilanova advances against Aliesia Reva. This market will resolve to 'Aliesia Reva' if Aliesia Reva advances against Sofia Montesinos Vilanova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sofia Montesinos Vilanova and Aliesia Reva in the W15 Badalona, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sofia Montesinos Vilanova' if Sofia Montesinos Vilanova advances against Aliesia Reva. This market will resolve to 'Aliesia Reva' if Aliesia Reva advances against Sofia Montesinos Vilanova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction markets like Polymarket often reflect information and insights that differ from traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and to balance their book, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. If a significant number of informed bettors believe a sportsbook is mispricing the outcome of the Montesinos vs Reva match, the prediction market odds may diverge. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform sportsbooks, especially when there’s strong public interest and a lot of information available.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome in the Montesinos vs Reva match. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share represents the probability of that outcome occurring, and traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the result. The market's price is entirely driven by supply and demand from users trading on the platform.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Badalona match between Sofia Montesinos Vilanova and Aliesia Reva. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders who held shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final share price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 9, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in public perception could cause the odds to move. Unexpected announcements about the players’ form, or even commentary from tennis analysts, could also impact trading activity. Major upsets in other matches involving these players might also lead traders to reassess their predictions for the Montesinos vs Reva match, resulting in price fluctuations.