TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 1, 7:02 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kiara Nina Kucikova and Maryia Kolas in the W15 Badalona, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 1, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kiara Nina Kucikova' if Kiara Nina Kucikova advances against Maryia Kolas. This market will resolve to 'Maryia Kolas' if Maryia Kolas advances against Kiara Nina Kucikova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kiara Nina Kucikova and Maryia Kolas in the W15 Badalona, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 1, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kiara Nina Kucikova' if Kiara Nina Kucikova advances against Maryia Kolas. This market will resolve to 'Maryia Kolas' if Maryia Kolas advances against Kiara Nina Kucikova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds capture real-time betting interest and can diverge from sportsbook odds due to different participant dynamics and information flow. Traders on Polymarket may price in nuances or early signals not yet reflected in sportsbook lines, leading to variations in implied probabilities. The market’s chance percentage offers a unique perspective compared to standard sportsbook odds, potentially highlighting shifts in perceived likelihood as the match approaches.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders collectively set the odds through their bets, which determines the current implied probability for each outcome. The top outcome’s chance reflects the aggregated wisdom of market participants, updating in real time as trades execute. This mechanism captures the most recent sentiment and analysis from active traders on the platform.
This market resolves around Sep 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is based on the official match conclusion, and the platform will update the market accordingly once the data is widely available and confirmed.
Several signals could influence this market before Sep 8, 2026. Key performances in practice sessions, player injuries or changes in form, and weather conditions — if relevant to the surface — may shift trader sentiment. Updates from coaches or medical staff, as well as any last-minute lineup decisions, can also impact odds. As the match nears, real-time betting trends on Polymarket will reflect new information, potentially causing noticeable movements in the market’s implied probability.