TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 4, 8:27 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Esther Lopez Alcaraz and Marianna Argyrokastriti in the W15 Badalona, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Esther Lopez Alcaraz' if Esther Lopez Alcaraz advances against Marianna Argyrokastriti. This market will resolve to 'Marianna Argyrokastriti' if Marianna Argyrokastriti advances against Esther Lopez Alcaraz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Esther Lopez Alcaraz and Marianna Argyrokastriti in the W15 Badalona, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Esther Lopez Alcaraz' if Esther Lopez Alcaraz advances against Marianna Argyrokastriti. This market will resolve to 'Marianna Argyrokastriti' if Marianna Argyrokastriti advances against Esther Lopez Alcaraz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently incorporates new information as traders react to news and events related to the Lopez Alcaraz vs Argyrokastriti match, influencing the price of shares.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Badalona tennis match between Esther Lopez Alcaraz and Marianna Argyrokastriti. The platform will determine the winning outcome based on publicly available data from official tennis sources, ensuring a transparent and verifiable resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected match announcements could influence trader sentiment. Performance in preceding matches, head-to-head records, and expert analysis could also shift probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the W15 Badalona tournament might also indirectly affect the perceived chances of either player winning the Lopez Alcaraz vs Argyrokastriti match, leading to adjustments in the market price.