TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 8:53 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Baotong Xu and Valentina Abril Bruno in the W15 Badalona, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Baotong Xu' if Baotong Xu advances against Valentina Abril Bruno. This market will resolve to 'Valentina Abril Bruno' if Valentina Abril Bruno advances against Baotong Xu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Baotong Xu and Valentina Abril Bruno in the W15 Badalona, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Baotong Xu' if Baotong Xu advances against Valentina Abril Bruno. This market will resolve to 'Valentina Abril Bruno' if Valentina Abril Bruno advances against Baotong Xu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market prices and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular result. It's a useful comparison point for informed bettors.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. The market's price is determined entirely by supply and demand, with traders setting the odds based on their own research and analysis.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Badalona match between Baotong Xu and Valentina Abril Bruno. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to determine which player won, or if the match ended in a draw. The final price of shares will reflect the actual outcome of the match.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches featuring these players could also impact the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself can cause price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how the market evolves as the match approaches.