TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 12, 5:43 AM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if Ihor "w0nderful" Zhdanov records at least one kill with the AWP without using the scope during IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 3, as shown on the official ESL CS broadcast. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." For the purposes of this market, a no-scope AWP kill means a kill made with the AWP while the player is not scoped in at the moment the shot is fired. Kills made while scoped, quick-scoped, or where the broadcast does not clearly show whether the player was scoped will not count. Primary resolution sources: official ESL CS Twitch broadcasts for IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 3: https://www.twitch.tv/ESLCS https://www.twitch.tv/eslcsb Only video shown on the official ESL CS broadcast livestreams or their official VODs will qualify. If IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 3 is canceled after it starts, or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than June 30, 2026, this market will resolve based on official ESL CS broadcast information available at the time of cancellation/postponement.
This market will resolve to "YES" if Ihor "w0nderful" Zhdanov records at least one kill with the AWP without using the scope during IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 3, as shown on the official ESL CS broadcast. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." For the purposes of this market, a no-scope AWP kill means a kill made with the AWP while the player is not scoped in at the moment the shot is fired. Kills made while scoped, quick-scoped, or where the broadcast does not clearly show whether the player was scoped will not count. Primary resolution sources: official ESL CS Twitch broadcasts for IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 3: https://www.twitch.tv/ESLCS https://www.twitch.tv/eslcsb Only video shown on the official ESL CS broadcast livestreams or their official VODs will qualify. If IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 3 is canceled after it starts, or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than June 30, 2026, this market will resolve based on official ESL CS broadcast information available at the time of cancellation/postponement.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds serve different purposes. Sportsbooks set fixed lines designed to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one reflect real-time consensus from traders continuously repricing based on new information. Prediction markets often respond faster to breaking news, player updates, or match developments because participants have direct financial incentive to correct mispricings. For esports events, prediction market odds can offer an alternative gauge of likelihood when sportsbook coverage is limited or when you want exposure to crowd-sourced probability rather than a bookmaker's margin.
On Limitless, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit buy and sell orders at their chosen odds. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The spread between the highest bid and lowest ask reflects the current liquidity and disagreement among participants about the likelihood of the outcome. As new trades execute, the mid-market price adjusts to reflect the latest consensus. Traders can place limit orders to wait for their target price or use market orders for immediate execution, with the platform matching buyers and sellers in real time.
This market resolves around Jun 15, 2026, once Stage 3 of the competition concludes and the outcome is verifiable from credible public sources. The resolution hinges on whether w0nderful achieves a no-scope AWP kill during that stage. Traders should monitor official match broadcasts, team announcements, and esports news outlets for confirmation. Any ambiguity about whether the kill meets the no-scope criteria will be evaluated against standard competitive definitions and available video evidence.
Several catalysts could shift odds before resolution. Live match performance during Stage 3 will be the primary driver—if w0nderful demonstrates strong AWP play or poor positioning, traders will adjust accordingly. Team roster changes, player injury reports, or opponent strength could also influence expectations. Broadcast commentary and real-time kill feeds during the match itself will create volatility as traders react to each round. Additionally, any official rule clarifications about what constitutes a valid no-scope kill, or unexpected technical issues affecting the match, may prompt repricing as participants reassess their conviction.