TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 15, 5:43 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if Ihor "w0nderful" Zhdanov records 10 or more kills with the SSG08 during IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 3, as shown on HLTV.org weapon statistics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 3 is currently scheduled for June 11–15, 2026. Primary resolution source: HLTV w0nderful weapon stats for IEM Cologne Major Stage 3: https://www.hltv.org/stats/players/weapon/20127/w0nderful?event=8301 If the HLTV weapon stats for this event are not available by June 30, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO." If IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 is canceled after it starts, or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than June 30, 2026, this market will resolve based on HLTV.org information available at the time of cancellation/postponement.
This market will resolve to "YES" if Ihor "w0nderful" Zhdanov records 10 or more kills with the SSG08 during IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 3, as shown on HLTV.org weapon statistics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 3 is currently scheduled for June 11–15, 2026. Primary resolution source: HLTV w0nderful weapon stats for IEM Cologne Major Stage 3: https://www.hltv.org/stats/players/weapon/20127/w0nderful?event=8301 If the HLTV weapon stats for this event are not available by June 30, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO." If IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 is canceled after it starts, or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than June 30, 2026, this market will resolve based on HLTV.org information available at the time of cancellation/postponement.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds serve different purposes. Sportsbooks set fixed lines designed to balance action and generate profit margins, while prediction markets like this one reflect real-time consensus from traders who profit by accurately forecasting outcomes. Prediction market prices often incorporate specialized knowledge and react quickly to new information, making them a distinct barometer of probability. Comparing this market's odds to sportsbook lines can reveal where professional and crowd-sourced opinion diverge on the likelihood of reaching that kill threshold.
On Limitless, this market is priced through continuous trading where participants buy and sell shares representing YES or NO outcomes. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective belief about whether the player will achieve 10 or more SSG08 kills at Stage 3. As new trades occur, prices adjust dynamically to balance supply and demand, ensuring the market continuously reprices based on incoming information and trader conviction.
This market resolves around Jun 15, 2026, once Stage 3 competition concludes and kill counts are verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by whether the specified player's final SSG08 kill total meets or exceeds 10 during that stage. Official tournament records and broadcast data serve as the basis for confirming the result, ensuring resolution is grounded in documented competition results rather than speculation.
Several factors could shift odds before Jun 15, 2026. Player performance in earlier stages or warm-up matches may signal weapon proficiency and confidence. Roster changes, coaching adjustments, or opponent strength variations can alter expected gameplay. Injury reports or player availability updates could impact participation. Real-time Stage 3 performance itself—early kills or drought—will likely trigger sharp repricing as traders update their forecasts. Community sentiment, expert analysis, and betting volume spikes can also accelerate price movement as the event unfolds.