TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 5:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This group forecasts the outcome of a KNVB (Royal Dutch Football Association) soccer match between VV Noordwijk and LAC Frisia 1883 scheduled for September 22, 2026. Markets exist for Noordwijk winning, LAC Frisia 1883 winning, and the game ending in a draw.
This event is for the upcoming KNVB Beker game, scheduled for Tuesday, September 22, 2026 between VV Noordwijk and LAC Frisia 1883.
The markets resolve based on the result of the Noordwijk vs Lac Frisia 1883 professional KNVB soccer game scheduled for September 22, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Noordwijk wins within regulation time, the 'Noordwijk' market resolves to Yes. If Lac Frisia 1883 wins within regulation time, the 'Lac Frisia 1883' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The markets exclusively consider regulation time results and do not account for outcomes determined in extra time or penalty shootouts.
Prediction market odds, like those displayed for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance their risk, while prediction markets allow anyone to express their belief about the likelihood of an event. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion deviates from the sportsbook’s initial assessment. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information or shifts in sentiment than sportsbooks, offering a dynamic comparison of probabilities for the Noordwijk vs. Frisia match.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Kalshi can arise from several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information about the Noordwijk vs. Frisia match. Trading fees, market-making incentives, and the specific rules governing each platform also contribute to price discrepancies. Furthermore, the liquidity—or volume—on each platform can influence price discovery; a market with higher volume tends to have more stable and accurate odds. Currently, Polymarket leans toward VV Noordwijk winning, while Kalshi does not have a leading market.