TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 3:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which cyclist will claim the Green Jersey at the 2026 Vuelta a Espana, awarded based on points accumulated across stages. The outcome depends on the final standings after all stages are completed.
Each market resolves to 'Yes' only if the specified participant wins the Green Jersey classification at the conclusion of the 2026 Vuelta a Espana. If the participant fails to start, withdraws before completion, is disqualified at any stage, or does not finish the race for any reason, the market resolves to 'No'. These conditions apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistency in resolution criteria for each named cyclist.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks to buy or sell contracts representing the chance of each possible outcome. The current top outcome reflects the highest probability that traders are willing to accept, and the market adjusts constantly as new information arrives and participants place bets. Volume of $2,000 and 24-hour volume of $0 show how active trading is.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the Green Jersey is determined by the final standings of the Vuelta a Espana after all stages are completed, and the market settles based on official race results reported by authoritative sports news outlets and the event organizers.
Key signals include stage results, especially when leading riders gain or lose points, and any last-minute changes in race conditions such as weather or crashes. Updates on rider health or strategy shifts can also impact pricing. As Sep 13, 2026 approaches, trader reactions to real-time performance and media reports will likely cause sharp movements in this market, reflecting the latest odds of who will claim the points classification.