TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Vuelta a Espana: Green Jersey Winner
kalshi

Vuelta a Espana: Green Jersey Winner

Volume:
$2,000

Wout Van Aert

 - Kalshi

Wout Van Aert - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 13, 2026

Closed: Sep 13, 3:57 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Wout Van Aert

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,000
N/A
N/A
$846
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tadej Pogacar

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$695
N/A
N/A
$626
Settled
No
kalshi

Matthew Brennan

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$266
N/A
N/A
$248
Settled
No
kalshi

Mads Pedersen

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$23
N/A
N/A
$23
Settled
No
kalshi

Ethan Hayter

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17
N/A
N/A
$17
Settled
No
kalshi

Darren van Bekkum

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Enzo Paleni

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Finlay Pickering

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Timo de Jong

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Gal Glivar

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Alessandro Romele

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Moritz Kretschy

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Hamish McKenzie

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Callum Thornley

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Markel Beloki

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Sente Sentjens

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jorgen Nordhagen

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Oscar Chamberlain

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jordan Labrosse

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Roman Ermakov

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Lars Craps

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Sinuhe Fernandez

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Oliver Peace

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Sergio Geovani Chumil

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Steffen de Schuyteneer

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 184

Description

This market tracks which cyclist will claim the Green Jersey at the 2026 Vuelta a Espana, awarded based on points accumulated across stages. The outcome depends on the final standings after all stages are completed.

Kalshi

Each market resolves to 'Yes' only if the specified participant wins the Green Jersey classification at the conclusion of the 2026 Vuelta a Espana. If the participant fails to start, withdraws before completion, is disqualified at any stage, or does not finish the race for any reason, the market resolves to 'No'. These conditions apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistency in resolution criteria for each named cyclist.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks real-time odds, price movements, and 24-hour volume for the Vuelta a Espana Green Jersey race. It visualizes how traders on Kalshi price the likelihood of each rider winning the race’s points classification, showing trends and shifts in market sentiment as the event approaches. The display includes current top outcome probabilities and trading activity, giving users insight into market dynamics for this specific cycling competition.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks to buy or sell contracts representing the chance of each possible outcome. The current top outcome reflects the highest probability that traders are willing to accept, and the market adjusts constantly as new information arrives and participants place bets. Volume of $2,000 and 24-hour volume of $0 show how active trading is.

This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the Green Jersey is determined by the final standings of the Vuelta a Espana after all stages are completed, and the market settles based on official race results reported by authoritative sports news outlets and the event organizers.

Key signals include stage results, especially when leading riders gain or lose points, and any last-minute changes in race conditions such as weather or crashes. Updates on rider health or strategy shifts can also impact pricing. As Sep 13, 2026 approaches, trader reactions to real-time performance and media reports will likely cause sharp movements in this market, reflecting the latest odds of who will claim the points classification.