TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Vuelta a Espana: Blue And White Polka Dot Jersey Winner
kalshi

Vuelta a Espana: Blue And White Polka Dot Jersey Winner

Volume:
$1,689

Santiago Buitrago

 - Kalshi

Santiago Buitrago - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 13, 2026

Closed: Sep 13, 3:58 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Santiago Buitrago

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,374
N/A
N/A
$1,366
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tadej Pogacar

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$295
N/A
N/A
$275
Settled
No
kalshi

Enric Mas Nicolau

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
$20
Settled
No
kalshi

Darren van Bekkum

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Enzo Paleni

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Finlay Pickering

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Timo de Jong

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Gal Glivar

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Alessandro Romele

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Moritz Kretschy

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Hamish McKenzie

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Callum Thornley

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Markel Beloki

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Sente Sentjens

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jorgen Nordhagen

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Oscar Chamberlain

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jordan Labrosse

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Roman Ermakov

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Lars Craps

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Sinuhe Fernandez

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Oliver Peace

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Sergio Geovani Chumil

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Matthew Brennan

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Steffen de Schuyteneer

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ramses Debruyne

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 184

Description

This market focuses on predicting which cyclist will win the blue and white polka dot jersey classification at the 2026 Vuelta a Espana, a prestigious multi-stage road race in Spain. The jersey signifies the leader in the mountains classification, awarded based on performance in the race's hilly and mountainous stages.

Kalshi

Each market resolves to 'Yes' only if the specified participant wins the blue and white polka dot jersey at the 2026 Vuelta a Espana. If the participant fails to start, withdraws mid-race, is disqualified, or does not complete the race for any reason, the market resolves to 'No'. The operator emphasizes it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners. These rules apply uniformly across all markets in this event, ensuring consistency for all participants and outcomes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Vuelta polka dot jersey race dashboard provides a real-time view of odds and price movements for this market, along with 24-hour volume of $0. It tracks how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of each rider claiming the polka dot jersey throughout the Vuelta a Espana. The dashboard updates continuously to reflect the latest trading activity and market sentiment, giving users insight into where the money is flowing as the race unfolds.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous trading process where participants buy and sell contracts representing the chances of different outcomes. The current odds reflect the collective assessment of all traders on Kalshi, adjusting dynamically with new information such as rider performance, weather conditions, and team strategies. These odds provide a real-time probability estimate that can shift rapidly as the Vuelta progresses, capturing the evolving expectations of the market participants.

This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the polka dot jersey will be determined by the official results of the Vuelta a Espana, and these results are typically announced shortly after the final stage concludes. Once the official standings are published and widely reported, the market will settle based on that verified information.

Several key signals could shift this market before resolution, including major stage results that dramatically change riders' overall standings, injuries or technical difficulties affecting top contenders, and weather conditions that alter race dynamics. Performance updates from key teams, time trial outcomes, and any disciplinary actions or changes in race leadership can also cause rapid shifts in trader sentiment. As the Vuelta enters its decisive stages, any development that impacts the general classification will likely trigger notable movement in market odds.