TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 1:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional Serbian SuperLiga soccer match between Vojvodina Novi Sad and IMT Novi Beograd. Bettors can speculate on whether a specific team will win or if the game will end in a tie, based on the result after the full 90 minutes plus any stoppage time.
The market resolves based on the official result of the Vojvodina Novi Sad vs IMT Novi Beograd Serbian SuperLiga soccer match scheduled for September 19, 2026, determined after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Vojvodina Novi Sad, a win for IMT Novi Beograd, or a tie. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price, ensuring that all participants are treated equitably under exceptional circumstances.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs, potentially leading to odds that more accurately reflect the true probability of an outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of the prediction market as new information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and place orders, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic and real-time indication of expectations. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the cost to take a position on a specific result, and traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the outcome of the match.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Vojvodina Novi Sad versus IMT Novi Beograd match in the Serbian SuperLiga. The final score, as reported by official league sources, will determine which outcome is considered the winner. Traders will then be paid out or have their positions adjusted based on the final result and their initial trades in this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift expectations. Match previews from reputable sports analysts, weather conditions on the day of the game, and even public sentiment expressed on social media can all contribute to price movements. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could also cause noticeable shifts in the odds as traders react to new information or adjust their positions.