TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 5:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the potential point differential in an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to speculate on how decisively either team might win. The outcomes depend entirely on the final score of the contest between the two teams.
All markets resolve based on the official point differential from the VMI vs Davidson college football game scheduled for September 19, 2026. If VMI wins by exceeding the specified margin, relevant 'VMI wins by over X points' markets resolve to Yes; if Davidson wins by exceeding their specified margin, corresponding 'Davidson wins by over X points' markets resolve to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of timing changes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the spread, they can take a position in this market, driving the price towards their perceived fair value. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the VMI vs Davidson game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the VMI vs Davidson spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring. Buyers are expressing confidence in that outcome, while sellers are betting against it. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand, meaning the more people buy contracts for a particular spread, the higher the price will go, and vice versa. This creates a market-driven assessment of the game's likely outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread of the VMI vs Davidson game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body for college basketball. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout of $1 per contract, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will forfeit their investment. The market’s resolution is independent of any pre-game analysis or predictions.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 19, 2026. Any significant news regarding player injuries, coaching changes, or team performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups or changes in game location could also have an impact. Public perception, fueled by media coverage and expert analysis, can also play a role. Furthermore, large trades within this market itself can cause price fluctuations as traders react to new information or attempt to capitalize on perceived mispricings related to the VMI vs Davidson matchup.