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406,019

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2,689

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VMA Best Pop 2026
polymarket

Who will win VMA Best Pop?

Volume:
$14,376

Dream (Lisa featuring Kentaro Sakaguchi)

 - Polymarket

Dream (Lisa featuring Kentaro Sakaguchi) - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 28, 2026

Closed: Sep 27, 10:13 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Dream (Lisa featuring Kentaro Sakaguchi)

View
100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,045
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift)

View
0%
39%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,617
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Hate That I Made You Love Me (Ariana Grande)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,186
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Drop Dead (Olivia Rodrigo)

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,548
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Nobody's Girl (Tate McRae)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$827
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

House Tour (Sabrina Carpenter)

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$731
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

SS26 (Charli XCX)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$422
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

A

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N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
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B

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N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

C

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N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

D

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

E

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
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N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

F

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N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
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Settled
No
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G

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N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
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Settled
No
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H

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N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
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Settled
No
polymarket

I

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N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
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J

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N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
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Settled
No
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K

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N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
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Settled
No
polymarket

L

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N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
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Settled
No
polymarket

M

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N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
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Settled
No
polymarket

N

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

P

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Q

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

R

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 34

Description

The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop. If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop. If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the VMA Best Pop market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. Currently, the total volume for this market is $14,376, with $2,331 traded in the last 24 hours. You can see how the probabilities for different artists winning have shifted over time via the price chart. The dashboard provides a real-time view of where traders are placing their bets on who will take home the award for Best Pop at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards.

Currently, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than many analyst forecasts. While some music critics favor established artists, this market shows a strong belief in newer contenders. It’s common to see discrepancies between expert opinions and the wisdom of the crowd, as prediction markets incorporate a wider range of information and incentives. Examining these differences can be insightful, but it’s important to remember that both approaches have limitations when trying to predict the unpredictable world of pop music awards.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy shares in a particular artist, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of them winning. Conversely, selling shares lowers the price. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of traders.

This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official winner of the VMA for Best Pop, as announced by MTV during the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards ceremony, will determine the resolution. The market will then settle based on this publicly available information, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants. Traders should monitor news sources leading up to and during the awards show for updates.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before the award show. Major album releases, successful singles, impactful music video drops, and high-profile performances by the nominated artists are all potential catalysts. Unexpected collaborations or controversies surrounding any of the contenders could also shift the odds. Furthermore, shifts in public sentiment, measured through social media trends and streaming numbers, will likely be reflected in trading activity. Any significant news related to the artists in contention could lead to substantial movements in this market.