TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 31, 4:58 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Norway Eliteserien game between Vålerenga Fotball and Hamarkameratene, scheduled for July 31, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Vålerenga Fotball" if Vålerenga Fotball score more goals than Hamarkameratene in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Vålerenga Fotball and Hamarkameratene score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Hamarkameratene" if Hamarkameratene score more goals than Vålerenga Fotball in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Norway Eliteserien game between Vålerenga Fotball and Hamarkameratene, scheduled for July 31, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Vålerenga Fotball" if Vålerenga Fotball score more goals than Hamarkameratene in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Vålerenga Fotball and Hamarkameratene score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Hamarkameratene" if Hamarkameratene score more goals than Vålerenga Fotball in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, while prediction markets like this one are priced by traders who buy and sell shares based on their beliefs about the outcome. Prediction markets can sometimes offer sharper, more efficient pricing because they aggregate real-time information from many participants. However, sportsbooks may occasionally offer better value depending on their margins and market conditions. Comparing odds across both venues can help bettors identify discrepancies and maximize expected returns on this market.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker (AMM) model where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome is determined by the ratio of shares in the pool, meaning as more traders buy a particular outcome, its price rises and the competing outcomes fall. This continuous pricing mechanism ensures liquidity and allows traders to enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes. The current odds reflect the collective assessment of all participants trading on the platform.
This market resolves around Jul 31, 2026, once the second half of the match has concluded and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official final score reported by the relevant football authorities and widely recognized sports data providers. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive their payout, while incorrect predictions expire worthless. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective, independently verifiable information.
Several factors could shift odds in this market before it closes. Team news such as injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes announced before kickoff can significantly impact trader sentiment. Early match events—including goals, red cards, or tactical adjustments during the first half—often influence expectations for the second half outcome. Weather conditions, home-field advantage, and recent form of both sides may also drive trading activity. Additionally, real-time momentum swings during the match itself, such as a team going down a goal or gaining numerical superiority, typically trigger rapid repricing as traders update their forecasts.