TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Vålerenga Fotball vs. Aalesunds FK
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Vålerenga Fotball vs. Aalesunds FK?

Volume:
$308,235

Valerenga

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 16, 2026

Closed: Jul 16, 2:53 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Valerenga

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$87,810
N/A
N/A
$51,408
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Vålerenga Fotball

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$41,087
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Aalesund

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$77,044
N/A
N/A
$63,985
Settled
No
polymarket

Aalesunds FK

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,692
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$64,817
N/A
N/A
$42,611
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Vålerenga Fotball vs. Aalesunds FK)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,784
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a professional Eliteserien (Norwegian top-flight soccer) match between Vålerenga Fotball and Aalesunds FK scheduled for July 16, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi assess the outcome after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, covering all three possible results: Vålerenga win, Aalesunds win, and draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket uses three separate binary markets with conflicting cancellation rules (draw resolves Yes on cancellation; win markets resolve No). Kalshi uses a single three-outcome market with no explicit cancellation clause, creating scope and edge-case divergence.Hero tip: Monitor for cancellation risk. If the match is canceled, Polymarket's draw market will pay out while win markets will not—creating a synthetic Yes position. Kalshi's cancellation behavior is undefined; request explicit guidance before settlement.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three independent binary markets (Vålerenga win, draw, Aalesunds win). Cancellation logic differs by market type: win markets resolve No on cancellation; draw market resolves Yes on cancellation. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No' (win markets) vs 'this market will resolve Yes' (draw market).
  • Kalshi: Single three-outcome market covering Vålerenga win, Aalesund win, and tie. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Quote: 'If Valerenga wins...then the market resolves to Yes' / 'If Aalesund wins...then the market resolves to Yes' / 'If Tie is the result...then the market resolves to Yes.' Cancellation handling is undefined.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Norway Eliteserien game, scheduled for Thursday, July 16, 2026 between Vålerenga Fotball and Aalesunds FK.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the Valerenga vs Aalesund professional Eliteserien soccer game originally scheduled for July 16, 2026, evaluated after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). The match outcome determines which market resolves affirmatively: Valerenga wins, Aalesund wins, or the match ends in a tie. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled more than two weeks from the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market prices for the Vålerenga vs. Aalesund match across Polymarket and Kalshi, allowing traders to monitor real-time odds on match outcomes. Both platforms host independent markets on the same event, with traders buying and selling shares to express their conviction. The cross-platform view helps you spot pricing differences and track consensus shifts as new information emerges. Volume and price movements reflect collective trader sentiment about the likely result, offering a dynamic alternative to traditional sportsbook odds.

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they serve distinct purposes. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, often incorporating a margin. Prediction markets, by contrast, are peer-to-peer exchanges where traders directly set prices based on their beliefs about probability. This market's odds reflect what thousands of independent traders are willing to stake, which can diverge from sportsbook lines—sometimes offering sharper or more reactive pricing. Many traders monitor both venues to identify value and arbitrage opportunities.