TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 16, 1:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between Víkingur and UMF Stjarnan, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Víkingur vs. UMF Stjarnan match originally scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between Víkingur and UMF Stjarnan, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Víkingur vs. UMF Stjarnan match originally scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from traders risking real capital on outcomes. For this market, comparing the implied probability of the leading exact score outcome against major sportsbook spreads can reveal whether traders are pricing the match differently than professional oddsmakers. Such gaps sometimes signal where informed traders see value relative to traditional betting venues.
On Polymarket, traders set prices for each exact score outcome through an automated market maker mechanism. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of any scoreline reflects the cumulative bets placed on it; higher demand pushes the price up, while lower demand pushes it down. This continuous pricing model means the odds for outcomes like 2–1, 1–0, or 0–0 adjust in real time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions. The system incentivizes accurate forecasting because traders profit when their chosen outcome resolves correctly.
This market resolves around Jul 16, 2026, once the Víkingur versus Stjarnan match concludes and the final score is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning outcome is the exact scoreline recorded at the end of regular time. Traders holding shares in the correct exact score receive their payout, while all other positions expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, allowing quick settlement and payout distribution.
Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—can shift odds significantly, especially if key players become unavailable. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions on match day all influence trader expectations about likely scorelines. Pre-match analysis from respected football analysts may also trigger repricing as new insights reach the market. As kickoff approaches, live updates and early-match developments can cause sharp moves in the odds for specific scores, reflecting real-time adjustments to win probability and expected final tallies.