TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 24, 6:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of the first map in an upcoming professional League of Legends match between two esports teams. The result depends solely on which team secures the victory on the initial map of the match. Outcomes are determined by official tournament results, with specific handling for match disruptions like cancellations or forfeitures.
The event resolves based on the winner of map 1 in the Circuito Desafiante 2026 match between Vivo Keyd Stars Academy and INTZ e-Sports, scheduled for August 24, 2026, at 7:00 PM EDT. If either team wins the map as confirmed by the governing body, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before any play occurs, the market resolves to the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, the result follows the official publication by the tournament organizer. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds adjust dynamically based on real-time trading activity and volume of $41,870, while sportsbooks set their odds using statistical models and risk management. The difference often results in more volatile pricing on Kalshi, especially as new information emerges. Traders can compare this market to sportsbook lines to identify potential value, keeping in mind that prediction market prices incorporate crowd wisdom rather than institutional adjustments.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine the price through continuous bidding and asking, with the current implied probability reflecting the balance of buy and sell orders. The market’s 24-hour volume of $28,984 influences liquidity and price stability. As the event approaches, any significant shifts in trading volume or large orders can cause noticeable movements in the odds. This decentralized pricing mechanism allows rapid adjustments to new information affecting the teams' performance or conditions.
This market resolves around Aug 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of Map 1 is determined by the official game result, and the market settles accordingly based on that verified data.
Several signals could impact this market before Aug 25, 2026. Key team announcements, such as player injuries or lineup changes, often cause immediate shifts in trading activity. Performance metrics from recent matches, especially early maps in related games, may also influence trader sentiment. Media coverage highlighting strategic advantages for either side can create momentum swings. As the match date nears, any last-minute roster updates or tournament-specific news will likely drive volume and price changes on Kalshi.