TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Liga Portugal match between Vitória SC (also known as Guimarães) and FC Famalicão scheduled for March 14, 2026. The markets track three mutually exclusive outcomes: a Vitória SC win, a draw, or a FC Famalicão win, all resolved based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Team naming inconsistency between platforms (Vitória SC vs Guimarães) and contradictory cancellation resolution logic for draw outcomes. Kalshi omits explicit cancellation rules, creating potential ambiguity.Hero Tip:
Verify that both platforms reference the same match and same teams. Request explicit cancellation resolution from Kalshi. If trading across platforms, hedge against the possibility that Kalshi's tie outcome may not resolve "Yes" on cancellation as Polymarket specifies.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets (Vitória SC win, Draw, FC Famalicão win). Cancellation with no make-up: draw market resolves "Yes", win markets resolve "No". Resolution source: official Liga Portugal statistics within 2 hours, or credible reporting consensus. Quote: "If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to 'Yes'" (draw) and "this market will resolve to 'No'" (wins).Kalshi:
Three separate binary outcomes (Famalicao wins, Guimaraes wins, Tie) for the same match. No explicit cancellation logic provided. Quote: "If Famalicao wins... then the market resolves to Yes" (and similarly for Guimaraes and Tie). Cancellation handling is unspecified.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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