TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Vitória SC vs. FC Famalicão
polymarket
kalshi

Vitória SC vs. FC Famalicão

Volume:
$67,227

FC Famalicão

 - Polymarket

FC Famalicão - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 14, 2026

Closed: Mar 14, 11:30 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

FC Famalicão

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$29,391
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Famalicao

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,742
N/A
N/A
$1,431
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Vitória SC vs. FC Famalicão)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,734
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,329
N/A
N/A
$6,103
Settled
No
polymarket

Vitória SC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,765
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Guimaraes

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,265
N/A
N/A
$1,260
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the Liga Portugal match between Vitória SC (also known as Guimarães) and FC Famalicão scheduled for March 14, 2026. The markets track three mutually exclusive outcomes: a Vitória SC win, a draw, or a FC Famalicão win, all resolved based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Team naming inconsistency between platforms (Vitória SC vs Guimarães) and contradictory cancellation resolution logic for draw outcomes. Kalshi omits explicit cancellation rules, creating potential ambiguity.Hero tip: Verify that both platforms reference the same match and same teams. Request explicit cancellation resolution from Kalshi. If trading across platforms, hedge against the possibility that Kalshi's tie outcome may not resolve "Yes" on cancellation as Polymarket specifies.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets (Vitória SC win, Draw, FC Famalicão win). Cancellation with no make-up: draw market resolves "Yes", win markets resolve "No". Resolution source: official Liga Portugal statistics within 2 hours, or credible reporting consensus. Quote: "If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to 'Yes'" (draw) and "this market will resolve to 'No'" (wins).
  • Kalshi: Three separate binary outcomes (Famalicao wins, Guimaraes wins, Tie) for the same match. No explicit cancellation logic provided. Quote: "If Famalicao wins... then the market resolves to Yes" (and similarly for Guimaraes and Tie). Cancellation handling is unspecified.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.