TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Vitória SC vs. FC Arouca
kalshi
polymarket

Vitória SC vs. FC Arouca

Volume:
$374,850

Arouca

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 8, 2026

Closed: Aug 8, 3:08 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Arouca

View
100%
76%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$129,649
N/A
N/A
$78,260
Settled
Yes
polymarket

FC Arouca

100%
77%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$62,477
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Guimaraes

0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$77,990
N/A
N/A
$55,111
Settled
No
polymarket

Vitória SC

0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$54,379
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$36,489
N/A
N/A
$31,467
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Vitória SC vs. FC Arouca)

0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,866
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the outcome of the soccer match between Vitória SC and FC Arouca scheduled for August 8, 2026, focusing on whether Vitória SC wins, the match ends in a draw, or FC Arouca wins within regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets consistently resolve based on the official match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with specific handling for cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics from the governing body or event organizers, with credible reporting as fallback if official data is delayed

Core resolution logic:

  • Victory markets resolve Yes only if the respective team wins within 90 minutes plus stoppage time
  • Draw market resolves Yes if the match ends level after regular time including stoppage time
  • Cancellations without makeup resolve No for win markets and Yes for draw market on Polymarket; Kalshi market resolves Yes for any non-Guimaraes win

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: Markets remain open until the game is completed
  • Cancellation: Win markets resolve No, draw market resolves Yes on Polymarket; Kalshi resolves Yes for any outcome besides Guimaraes win
Timing: Resolution occurs after official match conclusion, with 2-hour window for official statistics publicationOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Primeira Liga game, scheduled for Saturday, August 8, 2026 between Vitória SC and FC Arouca.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Guimaraes vs Arouca professional Liga Portugal soccer match originally scheduled for August 8, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Guimaraes, a win for Arouca, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The event specifically excludes outcomes determined by extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the result within the standard match duration.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the decentralized nature of trading. On platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi, prices reflect the collective wisdom of participants and can adjust rapidly to new data. Sportsbook odds, meanwhile, are set by professionals and may include adjustments for balancing book flow. Traders should compare both sources to identify potential value; prediction markets may price in nuances faster, while sportsbooks could offer different implied probabilities based on their own models.