TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Vitória SC vs. CD Tondela
polymarket
kalshi

Vitória SC vs. CD Tondela

Volume:
$172,312

Guimaraes

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 4, 2026

Closed: Apr 3, 4:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Guimaraes

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$50,063
N/A
N/A
$24,739
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Vitória SC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$44,790
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tondela

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31,811
N/A
N/A
$25,891
Settled
No
polymarket

CD Tondela

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,103
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,826
N/A
N/A
$10,913
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Vitória SC vs. CD Tondela)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,718
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a professional Liga Portugal soccer match between Vitória SC (also referred to as Guimaraes) and CD Tondela scheduled for April 3, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are predicting the outcome after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with three possible results: a Vitória SC win, a CD Tondela win, or a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Team naming inconsistency (Vitória SC vs. Guimaraes) and conflicting cancellation logic for draw/tie outcomes. Polymarket's draw market resolves YES on full cancellation, while Kalshi's structure does not explicitly address cancellation, creating ambiguity in the tie/draw resolution path.Hero tip: Verify team identity alignment: Vitória SC and Guimaraes are the same club. More importantly, confirm cancellation protocol with both platforms. If the match is canceled with no makeup, Polymarket traders holding the draw are paid out YES, but Kalshi traders holding tie exposure face undefined resolution. Avoid large positions until cancellation language is harmonized.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three independent binary markets (Vitória SC win, CD Tondela win, draw). Draw market explicitly resolves YES if game is canceled entirely with no makeup. Resolution source is Liga Portugal official statistics or credible consensus within 2 hours of conclusion.
  • Kalshi: Single three-outcome market structure (Guimaraes win, Tie, Tondela win). Each outcome resolves YES only if that result occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Cancellation logic is not specified; no explicit YES resolution for tie in cancellation scenario.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.