TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Vissel Kōbe vs. Cerezo Ōsaka
polymarket
kalshi

Vissel Kōbe vs. Cerezo Ōsaka

Volume:
$344,080

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 29, 2026

Closed: Apr 29, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$67,655
N/A
N/A
$36,600
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Vissel Kōbe vs. Cerezo Ōsaka)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,798
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Vissel Kōbe

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$103,431
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Kobe

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$82,231
N/A
N/A
$57,092
Settled
No
kalshi

Cerezo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$57,391
N/A
N/A
$35,550
Settled
No
polymarket

Cerezo Ōsaka

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,574
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event is for the upcoming J1 100 Year Vision League game, scheduled for Wednesday, April 29, 2026 between Vissel Kōbe and Cerezo Ōsaka.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket's draw market contains a logical contradiction: it resolves YES on cancellation, which violates the mutually exclusive three-outcome structure (Kōbe win / Draw / Cerezo win). Kalshi's single market is a tautology that resolves YES for any match outcome, making it a game-occurrence bet rather than an outcome bet.Hero tip: Avoid the Polymarket draw market until the platform clarifies the cancellation clause. It is currently unresolvable under standard logic. Kalshi's market is only useful for betting on whether the match occurs; it provides no outcome discrimination.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets (Kōbe win, Draw, Cerezo win) covering all possible outcomes. CRITICAL FLAW: Draw market states 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve YES' — this contradicts the mutual exclusivity of the three outcomes and creates an impossible state where a canceled game is simultaneously 'a draw' and 'not a Kōbe win' and 'not a Cerezo win.'
  • Kalshi: Single market: 'If Cerezo wins OR Tie wins OR Kobe wins... then resolves YES.' This is a logical tautology covering all possible match outcomes. The market effectively bets on game occurrence, not outcome, since any actual result triggers YES. No cancellation clause provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.