TOTAL VOLUME:
$142.4b
24H VOL:
$104,871,197
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,643,541,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,592,701,755
469,827
Markets across
35,657
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,899
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Above 45
- Kalshi
Above 45 - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Oct 17, 2026
Time left: 02d:09h:20m
VisionQuest Rotten Tomatoes score?
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Description
The Rotten Tomatoes score reflects aggregated critic reviews, offering a snapshot of professional reception for VisionQuest following its premiere. This metric is widely used to gauge how well a show is received by critics, influencing viewer interest and industry perceptions.
Kalshi
All markets resolve based on VisionQuest's Tomatometer score as measured on October 17, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold, ranging from above 45 to above 90. If the score meets or exceeds the threshold for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets share the same evaluation date and time, and the determination of the Tomatometer score occurs three days after the public premiere of VisionQuest. The outcome for each market is binary, dependent solely on whether the score surpasses its designated threshold.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While many analysts are offering initial predictions for the film’s reception, this market allows traders to incorporate a wider range of information and express their collective judgment. Discrepancies can arise from differing methodologies, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of the market as new information emerges. It's common to see this market adjust rapidly to news or early reviews, potentially diverging from initial expert opinions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different Rotten Tomatoes score outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information surfaces, the prices adjust, providing a real-time indication of collective expectations. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive market, where sentiment can shift quickly based on available data.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official Rotten Tomatoes score for VisionQuest is publicly available and verifiable from credible public reporting. The final Rotten Tomatoes score, as reported by Rotten Tomatoes, will determine which outcome wins. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their positions after the resolution date. The market will close prior to this date to prevent trading on already-known information.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Early critical reviews, particularly those from prominent film critics, will likely cause price fluctuations. The release of trailers and promotional materials could also shift sentiment. Any news regarding production issues, cast controversies, or comparisons to similar films could also move the market. Finally, general audience buzz and social media reactions leading up to the release will be closely watched by traders and could influence the odds on Kalshi.
