TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 21, 2:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This event covers a professional Italy Serie B basketball matchup between Virtus Gvm Roma 1960 and Elachem Vigevano 1955 scheduled for June 21, 2026. Separate markets track whether each team wins the game.
This event resolves based on the outcome of the Virtus Gvm Roma 1960 vs Elachem Vigevano 1955 professional Italy Serie B basketball game originally scheduled for June 21, 2026 at 12:30 PM EDT. Each market resolves to Yes if its corresponding team wins the game. If the game is postponed or delayed, markets remain open and close after the rescheduled game concludes, provided the reschedule occurs within two weeks of the original date. Should the game be cancelled and not played, or if rescheduled more than two weeks beyond the original date, markets will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with established resolution procedures.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and audiences. Sportsbooks set odds to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets allow traders to freely price outcomes based on their genuine beliefs. This market reflects the aggregated conviction of traders rather than a bookmaker's margin-adjusted line. Over time, prediction markets have shown accuracy comparable to or better than traditional sportsbook pricing, especially when liquidity is robust. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal where the two communities disagree on likelihood.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the last executed trade, and new orders move the price as supply and demand shift. Traders can place limit or market orders to enter or exit positions, and the spread between bid and ask prices indicates market tightness. As the event date approaches and new information surfaces, prices adjust to reflect updated expectations from active participants.
This market resolves around Jun 21, 2026, once the Roma vs Vigevano basketball match concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome will be confirmed based on the final score and official game records. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as odds fluctuate. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, after which no further trading is permitted and payouts are distributed to holders of the winning outcome.
Several factors could shift odds in this market before the game tips off. Roster changes, injury announcements, or lineup confirmations for either team may trigger sharp moves as traders reassess win probability. Recent form, head-to-head records, and home-court advantage are traditional catalysts that traders monitor. Breaking news about player availability, coaching decisions, or venue conditions can also drive repricing. As game time approaches, late-breaking updates and expert commentary often accelerate trading volume and volatility, reflecting the market's real-time response to new information.