TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Virtus Bologna vs. FC Bayern Munchen
Volume:
$309,793
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming Euroleague basketball game, scheduled for April 7 at 2:30PM ET: If the Virtus Bologna win, the market will resolve to "Virtus Bologna". If the FC Bayern Munchen win, the market will resolve to "FC Bayern Munchen". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is fundamentally broken: it resolves to Yes for both possible outcomes (Virtus Bologna win OR Bayern Munich win), making the market logically unresolvable. Polymarket correctly resolves to one of two mutually exclusive outcomes based on the game result.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market. Kalshi's rules state the market resolves Yes if either team wins, which violates basic binary market logic and creates a data integrity failure. Polymarket's market is the only tradeable version with sound resolution criteria.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Outlier (correct logic): Resolves to either 'Virtus Bologna' or 'FC Bayern Munchen' based on game outcome; exactly one team wins and one loses. Key quote: 'If the Virtus Bologna win, the market will resolve to Virtus Bologna. If the FC Bayern Munchen win, the market will resolve to FC Bayern Munchen.'
- Kalshi: Outlier (logical contradiction): Resolves to Yes if Virtus Bologna wins AND also resolves to Yes if Bayern Munich wins, creating an impossible dual-resolution scenario. Key quote: 'If Virtus Bologna wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Bayern Munich wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.