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Virtus Bologna vs. FC Bayern Munchen
polymarket
kalshi

Virtus Bologna vs. FC Bayern Munchen

Volume:
$309,793

Bayern Munich

 - Kalshi

Bayern Munich - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 17, 2026

Closed: Apr 7, 5:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Bayern Munich

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$176,260
N/A
N/A
$98,676
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Virtus Bologna

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$126,250
N/A
N/A
$71,230
Settled
No
polymarket

Virtus Bologna vs. FC Bayern Munchen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,283
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

In the upcoming Euroleague basketball game, scheduled for April 7 at 2:30PM ET: If the Virtus Bologna win, the market will resolve to "Virtus Bologna". If the FC Bayern Munchen win, the market will resolve to "FC Bayern Munchen". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic is fundamentally broken: it resolves to Yes for both possible outcomes (Virtus Bologna win OR Bayern Munich win), making the market logically unresolvable. Polymarket correctly resolves to one of two mutually exclusive outcomes based on the game result.Hero tip: Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market. Kalshi's rules state the market resolves Yes if either team wins, which violates basic binary market logic and creates a data integrity failure. Polymarket's market is the only tradeable version with sound resolution criteria.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Outlier (correct logic): Resolves to either 'Virtus Bologna' or 'FC Bayern Munchen' based on game outcome; exactly one team wins and one loses. Key quote: 'If the Virtus Bologna win, the market will resolve to Virtus Bologna. If the FC Bayern Munchen win, the market will resolve to FC Bayern Munchen.'
  • Kalshi: Outlier (logical contradiction): Resolves to Yes if Virtus Bologna wins AND also resolves to Yes if Bayern Munich wins, creating an impossible dual-resolution scenario. Key quote: 'If Virtus Bologna wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Bayern Munich wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.